| | Bayesian Model Check | CrashTest81 |
| Match Name | CrashEMS | Total Matches | 1022 |
| Match Description | Crash to EMS dual match |
| Table A | Crash | Table B | EMS |
| | Total Matches |
| | MCMC | | Total Matches | | Total Matches | | Total Matches | | Total Matches | | Total Matches |
| | Iteration | | Prior Mean | | Prior Std Dev | | Observed Avg | | Posterior Mean | | Post Std Dev |
| | 2 | 1022.0 | 51.1 | 898.2 | 960.6 | 51.1 |
| | Total Probability of Error |
| | MCMC | | Total Probability of Error |
| | Match Field A | Match Field B | Iteration | Prior | Observed | Posterior |
| | CrashCounty1 | SceneCounty1 | 2 | 0.040 | 0.027 | 0.033 |
| | StdAge | StdAge | 2 | 0.040 | 0.016 | 0.028 |
| | StdDate | StdDateCall | 2 | 0.040 | 0.029 | 0.033 |
| | StdDobD | StdDobD | 2 | 0.014 | 0.007 | 0.011 |
| | StdDobM | StdDobM | 2 | 0.014 | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| | StdHour | StdHourCall | 2 | 0.040 | 0.040 | 0.039 |
| | StdSex | StdSex | 2 | 0.040 | 0.013 | 0.026 |
| | Vehicle1 | Vehicle1 | 2 | 0.040 | 0.018 | 0.028 |
| | X Factors |
| | MCMC | | Agree X Factor | | Disagree X Factor |
| | Match Field A | Match Field B | Iteration | Prior | Obs | Post | Prior | Obs | Post |
| | StdDobD | StdDobD | 2 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.700 | 0.697 | 0.699 |
| | StdDobM | StdDobM | 2 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.700 | 0.697 | 0.699 |
| | Match Weights |
| | MCMC | | Avg Agree Wgt | | Avg Disagree Wgt |
| | Match Field A | Match Field B | Iteration | Prior Est | Post Est | Prior Est | Post Est |
| | CrashCounty1 | SceneCounty1 | 2 | 2.12 | 2.11 | -4.38 | -4.66 |
| | StdAge | StdAge | 2 | 6.19 | 6.13 | -4.64 | -5.16 |
| | StdDate | StdDateCall | 2 | 4.90 | 4.88 | -4.61 | -4.86 |
| | StdDobD | StdDobD | 2 | 4.93 | 4.91 | -6.12 | -6.53 |
| | StdDobM | StdDobM | 2 | 3.58 | 3.58 | -6.04 | -6.68 |
| | Friday, July 11, 2008 | Page 1 of 6 |